The theory of probabilities is at bottom only common sense reduced to calculus. — Pierre-Simon Laplace

The theory of probabilities is at bottom only common sense reduced to calculus.

In the original French

La théorie des probabilités n'est, au fond, que le bon sens réduit au calcul.

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Laplace, Pierre-Simon. Theorie Analytique des Probabilities [Analytic Theory of Probability]. Paris: Madame Va Courcier, 1812.

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